Examining The Race For The Champions League Places

by David on April 9, 2012

With only six games left in the season, the battle for the third and fourth Champions League places could come down to the last game of the season. This is how the battle for third and fourth looks at the moment:

3 Arsenal 32 22 61
4 Tottenham 32 20 59
5 Chelsea 32 18 56
6 Newcastle 32 6 56

So who has the easiest schedule? Lets look at Arsenal’s Spurs‘s Chelsea’s and Newcastle’s remaining games:

Arsenal:
Wolves (a), Wigan (h), Chelsea (h), Stoke (a), Norwich (h), West Brom (a)

A pretty favorable run-in for the Gunners. Chelsea home and Stoke away are the two toughest matches, but you would expect them Arsenal to pick up at least 14 points from their remaining six games.. Arsenal Final Total: 75

Tottenham:
Norwich (h),  Chelsea FA Cup Semi-Final, QPR (a), Blackburn (h), Bolton (a), Aston Villa (a), Fulham (h)

By far the easiest fixture list of anyone in the top six. A couple of London derby’s in there, but it will be a surprise if Spurs does not pick up 15 points from these games. Spurs Final Total: 74 points

Chelsea:
Fulham (a), Spurs FA Cup Semi-Final, Barcelona Champions League (H), Arsenal (a), Barcelona (A), QPR (h), Newcastle (h), Liverpool (a), Blackburn (h)

Chelsea have by far the hardest run in, especially when you add in an FA Cup semi-final and two games against Barcelona. With Arsenal and Liverpool away and Newcastle at home, it is hard to seeing Chelsea picking up more than 12 points here. Chelsea Final Total: 68 Points

Newcastle
Bolton (h), Stoke (h), Wigan (a), Chelsea (a), Man City (h), Everton (a)

Last three games are really tough, especially the away games to Chelsea and Everton. Hard to see Newcastle getting more than a point from their last three games. Newcastle Final Total: 66 points

So by my calculations Arsenal and Spurs will grab the all important Champions League places for next season, with Arsenal once again finishing ahead of Spurs in the standings.

Agree or disagree with my calculations and final league positions?

 

{ 4 comments… read them below or add one }

Mohamed Zubairu April 9, 2012 at 8:39 am

All of Spur’s away games are potential slippery ground for them. Given their recent form and the force of anxiety that will surely come to play against them, I do not see them getting up to 15 points in the remaining games.

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Internet Investment Ideas April 9, 2012 at 9:43 am

I totally agree with your calculations and final league positions? But I am a bit skeptical about Chelsea (Inconsistent), Stoke (Body football players), West Brom (Banana Skin). West Brom was a pain last season. I really want my darling Arsenal to finish ahead of Spurs.

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James anjor April 9, 2012 at 11:07 pm

Iam in agreement that arsenal will pick the third champion league place a head of bitter rival spurs.

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Scott (USA) April 10, 2012 at 10:12 pm

Agree with most but I see The Chickens slipping at the end. This stage is just to big for Tottenham. They are pretenders and it will show. COYG!!!!

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